Kazachstan
On March 15, 2026, citizens of Kazakhstan participated in a referendum to decide on a new constitution that would significantly expand President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev's powers. The proposed changes include merging the bicameral parliament into a single chamber and reinstating the vice presidency, both subject to presidential appointment with parliamentary approval.
The key amendments under consideration are:
Currently, President Tokayev is limited to one seven-year term ending in 2029. Analysts suggest that the new constitution could provide a mechanism to reset term limits, potentially allowing him to extend his presidency beyond the current restriction.
While the government argues that these reforms are necessary for efficient governance, critics express concerns about the concentration of power and the potential erosion of democratic principles. The opposition, lacking formal representation, has struggled to mount an effective campaign against the referendum.
The referendum occurs amid economic challenges, including an inflation rate of 11.7% and rising taxes, leading to public discontent. Observers warn that these factors could trigger unrest similar to the nationwide protests in 2022, which were sparked by fuel price hikes and resulted in numerous casualties.
The outcome of the referendum will have significant implications for Kazakhstan's political structure and the balance of power within the government.